Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 12.635952 14.489565 16.469445 18.735781 21.252273 23.954838 27.070607
2025-10-05 10.243560 12.781394 15.676315 19.200488 23.350966 28.059322 33.778760
2025-10-12 8.730806 11.622507 15.089169 19.505605 24.932683 31.332170 39.392574
2025-10-19 7.554292 10.638161 14.496425 19.603741 26.104597 34.015897 44.274646
2025-10-26 6.406015 9.515575 13.565043 19.118517 26.417135 35.554120 47.711615
2025-11-02 5.527601 8.630529 12.823965 18.763290 26.796691 37.109167 51.144786
2025-11-09 4.790916 7.848024 12.128159 18.376767 27.057013 38.459455 54.300978
2025-11-16 4.186302 7.182496 11.521449 18.039518 27.321975 39.777203 57.409666
2025-11-23 3.614290 6.498364 10.818764 17.495037 27.236769 40.579871 59.813337
2025-11-30 3.285767 6.155885 10.584072 17.595432 28.040137 42.596596 63.898773
2025-12-07 2.987110 5.827551 10.337886 17.648956 28.757802 44.496775 67.859861
2025-12-14 2.758219 5.590245 10.209838 17.862431 29.703101 46.732078 72.337800
2025-12-21 2.501891 5.282120 9.948671 17.857570 30.328357 48.543589 76.298245
2025-12-28 2.356141 5.156164 9.974484 18.303135 31.650042 51.403445 81.840785
2026-01-04 2.197492 4.988268 9.913339 18.596489 32.737454 53.940529 86.973702
2026-01-11 2.021783 4.767803 9.741902 18.690852 33.505212 56.012161 91.467139
2026-01-18 1.780007 4.388496 9.258069 18.224312 33.345583 56.662031 93.851025
2026-01-25 1.582640 4.074902 8.865090 17.882815 33.361147 57.563792 96.617638
2026-02-01 1.402866 3.775439 8.471888 17.511284 33.300177 58.330352 99.182194
2026-02-08 1.248036 3.510155 8.120077 17.187161 33.294704 59.170366 101.865318
2026-02-15 1.088352 3.211664 7.676625 16.663964 32.918409 59.396136 103.585898
2026-02-22 1.007571 3.088176 7.572024 16.760426 33.608877 61.347689 108.045597
2026-03-01 0.929486 2.960979 7.448846 16.811855 34.217190 63.176033 112.346584